The paper describes and analyzes the problems associated with present-day practice of strategic and forecast researches organization and carrying out, such as restricted applicability of competitive mechanism for these investigations’ executors choice, non-transparency of strategies and forecasts formation, bias of lead research executor, the lack of efficient monitoring of the research results by the customer, as well as the incorrectness of system research methodology. The new scheme of organization of these researches is justified. It is similar to the modern system of organization of applied investigations carried out in high-tech industry for new technologies development. To improve the quality of new managerial techniques development management the system of technology readiness (for practical application) levels is introduced. It provides strict monitoring of intermediate results of system researches. New managerial technology development process is clearly subdivided into separate stages, from the development of composition and structure of a simulated system to the computer models of large-scale systems development. Such a model can be used further repeatedly to construct the forecasts, strategies of the controlled systems development. Also in the paper a new economic-mathematical model is proposed for enterprises, industries, and countries strategies and forecasts development organization quality assessment. For this aim, society and its separate groups welfare models dependent on the policy performed were built. The model of optimal policy choice was also constructed, the process of the society utility evaluation function forming was described. The accuracy and quality parameters of management decisions taken from maximization of the function concerned were formalized. The influence of the proposed by the author’s new forecasts and strategies development organization on the quality of strategic management was investigated. Controlled system (enterprise, industry, national economy) «robustness» conditions to the biases of the society objective function and optimal policy were described.

In the article, in the light of modern theory of socio-economic systems, the main problems of coordination of the participants of innovative activity at different levels of the hierarchy of management are considered. Particular attention is paid to coordinating of actions of the agents-generators of innovative ideas, developers of innovative products, managers of innovative enterprises, consumers of innovation. The factors inhibiting innovative activity in the domestic economy are determined, key problems of the formation of the innovation economy in Russia are formulated. It is shown that coordination mechanisms based on the synchronization of the interaction of innovative objects, projects, processes within the system of a higher order are the most stable. Key principles of the development of coordination mechanisms for innovation activity participants in innovative activities that occupy different positions in the national innovation system are formulated. It is shown that systematic coordination mechanisms must coordinate the behavior of actors, giving the specifics of innovation, functions of the systems as «object», «environment», «process» and «project», factors of individual behavior, the interdependence of the system development and the individual, as well as economic cycles. Specificity of coordination of the participants in innovation requires, as it is shown in the work, special attention to the humanitarian aspects of interagency and inter-system coordination, including the application of methods of animalistic coordination based on the concept of the «soul» of the socioeconomic system. Conclusions of a system-wide nature are projected into the sphere of coordination of the activities of state authorities and economic agents.

One of the factors determining the steady progressive growth of the state is the coordination of the tasks of the country's economic and social development with the individual goals facing its citizens. In accordance with the traditional view, an individual, when solving economic problems, chooses the option of actions that brings him the greatest benefit. However, such an approach does not take into account the numerous factors (from institutional to psychological) that affect the real choice. The author proposes to expand the classical view, as well as to analyze additional factors influencing the economic behavior of an individual, which allow directing the individual’s activity to a socially useful channel. For this purpose, a model of behavior aimed at socio-economic efficiency has been proposed, which provides for a reduction in transaction costs (in broad meaning), and is aimed at increasing public performance, allowing to shift the focus from economic efficiency to social cost-effectiveness. In the model under consideration attention is paid to the impact of the social ambiance, institutional and socio-economic environment on the behavior of an individual. Such an environment is capable of directing decisions made by an individual not only to increase consumption and maximize economic benefits, but also to self-restraint and the desire for self-identification, as well as the coordination of individual behavior with the requirements and norms of society. It is noted that the proposed model of economic behavior sets the streamline of actions, focused on the choice of solutions that take into account the possibility of personal economic success in the context of public efficiency, reducing the outlays of society, reasonable consumption norms and the burden on the environment. The model is aimed at increasing collective efficiency and gradually solving social and economic problems of the country on the whole at the expense of the mentioned tools.

The article considers the development of the Russian guided missiles and space vehicles industry for a long-term taking into account changes of the space technology research and development and procurement by «Roscosmos» corporation and the current trends of global space technology market. Special attention was aimed at differentiating the development of various segments of the market. The author considers the hypotheses of the peculiarity of innovative development and innovations spreading in space industry based on his ideas about the essence of innovative processes and innovation capital circle-flow, which has been developed in his previous works. It enables the author to show that until late 1980s, guided missiles and space vehicles industry was an innovative manufacture sector, but today a significant part of the industry’s main segments are involved only in the creation of local innovations. Its results bring added value in related industries that are not part of space technology manufacturing. Furthermore, the research is aimed at solving the problem of estimating the long-term perspectives of Russian guided missiles and space vehicles industry, as well as the space market. The main challenge is to get forecast estimates taking into consideration the inconstant government funding and financial limits of Russian federal space program for 2016-2025 years’ period.

This article gives a quantitative characteristic of the close ties between the dynamics of the Russian and Brazilian financial markets (in consideration to exchange ratio and stock prices). The synchronism of the dynamics of the markets in 1996-2017 is demonstrated (correlation coefficients are 0.8-0.95 in the exchange rates of the ruble and the Brazilian real, 0.89-0.92 in the stock indices). Particular emphasis is made on the parallelism of the movement of markets during crises, the possibility of mutual financial infections. We elaborate on the cause-and-effect mechanism of these types of links in the global finance. Moreover, we provide the analysis of the similarities between the Brazilian and Russian financial markets and economies that cause them to be perceived them as “close” assets by portfolio investors in global finance. Analogies are revealed in the models of collective behavior of the population, in structuring Russia and Brazil as “Latin American type” states, in the ideology of a “special national path” and “great power”. The mechanism of decisions and actions of large international investors is presented, it determines the synchronism of the financial markets of Russia and Brazil in the formation of portfolios of global financial assets, similar in risk, profitability and liquidity. The qualitative forecast of the dynamics of the financial markets of Russia and Brazil on horizons of up to 5 years as synchronous, possessing ultrahigh volatility is given. We formulate the provision that the forecast of the future of Russia to be built on the analysis of the political, economic and financial past of Brazil, given that it has always remained a market economy. The main parameters of the analysis of the features of “similarity” and “difference” are presented, which allow us to resume it in future because of the persistence of synchronism or discrepancies in the future in the dynamics of financial markets in Russia and Brazil.

Advanced directions of supply chain development are based on the principles of environmental responsibility, which attract attention of researchers, participants and users of supply chains towards the issues of nature protection, defense of ecological systems and organization of environment-protection measures for sustainable development. This paper considers a problem of determining the most important sources of strategic environmental risks in supply chains. Optimal use and consumption of natural resources can reduce economic losses and damage caused to the environment, reduce the amount of waste and decrease the need for resources for industrial use. Solving strategic environment-oriented tasks in supply chain management (including the development of mathematical and economic-mathematical models) taking into account the environmental aspects of material flow distribution in supply chains, allows to ensure their ecologically balanced functioning. We propose a procedure that reduces the dimensionality of the supply chain model without losing significant information about strategic environmental risks and associated losses. As a measure of knowledge about the most important sources of risks in the supply chain, we propose to use the information entropy. To solve the problem of identifying the most important sources of strategic environmental risks in supply chains, an approach is developed based on the use of information entropy as a measure of knowledge about negative deviations of strategic environmental indicators. As a result, a simplified supply chain model is constructed that preserves the most important information related to the original full-range large-size chain and, in the same time, is sufficiently complete to assist the decision-makers to select anti-risk programs based primarily on the principles of the best available technologies.

The paper describes the model for comparison of taxation systems existing in the territories of advanced social and economic development (TAD) and in special economic zones (SEZ) of the “technology-innovation” and “industrial-production” type. The main elements of this model are an investment project (placed in various systems of tax benefits), an model of investor’ behavior that chooses the optimal time for financing the project, and scenarios of the tax system, taking into account tax privileges accepted in TAD and SEZ. As model calculations showed, the possibilities of all three systems in terms of attracting investors (waiting time for project financing) are approximately the same, but the investor will still come in TAD a little faster than in the SEZ, and with the growing uncertainty of the future profit from the project this difference will increase. From the point of view of federal and regional budgets (i.e. the expected tax revenues from the implemented project) does not exist one system that would be better than the other two for all considered investment projects. The tax system in TAD will be the best in this respect for projects with a low average growth rate of added value and low volatility. The benefits of TAD will also be the best (for the regional budget) for projects with higher both average growth rates of added value and a share of wages in value added. In other cases, the best benefit system is in SEZ of the industrial-production type for the federal budget, and of the technology-innovation type for the regional budget.

In this paper, the authors propose an approach to take into account the impact of daily changing macroeconomic variables in the development of a model for the probability of revoking a license from Russian banks on the basis of their annual financial indicators. The essence of this approach -to take into account the influence of macroeconomic variables. It is proposed to use not the average value for the sample, but the median and the volatility characteristics: standard deviation and variance. Based on the annual financial performance of banks for the period from 2004 to 2015, as well as the values of macroeconomic variables, a logistic regression model for estimating the likelihood of license revocation from Russian banks was built. The volatility of macroeconomic variables is characterized by the variables “Standard deviation” and “Variance”. The problem of eliminating multicollinearity between these variables is proposed to be solved by including in the model standardized values of the variable “Standard deviation” and their squares. An approach is proposed for determining the cutoff threshold in binary selection models, according to which the I and II types of errors are assigned different weights. In the function of determining the cut-off value, an external parameter a is introduced that characterizes the investor's attitude to the I type error (the operating bank is classified as a bank with a revoked license). Classification of banks into operating banks and banks with a revoked license is based on the obtained of the cut-off value, taking into account the selected value of a, at which the function of determining the cut-off value reaches a minimum. Thus, the approach of taking into account the volatility indicators of macroeconomic variables proposed in the study made it possible to improve the quality of the model for forecasting the revocation of a license from a Russian bank. The model has a stronger predictive ability than the models that take into account only the average values of the exchange rate of currencies and other macroeconomic variables.

The aim of this work is to study barriers to the development of the markets for energy efficient products and services, used in the residential and commercial sectors. The study was conducted by personal interview with a small group of respondents using a structured questionnaire containing both open and semi-open questions and the evaluation questions, the answers to which are presented in Likert scale. The questions of this survey are designed to identify and measure the main indirect barriers of diffusion of new energy-efficient technologies of mass demand. The study was conducted in three regions - Krasnodar, Krasnoyarsk and Primorsky regions (Krai), with a sample of 657 respondents. Processing results of the survey was carried out using mainly the methods of nonparametric statistics: Spearman and Kendall rank correlation, non-parametric Mann-Whitney and Kruskall-Wallis test, cross-tabulation. The study revealed significant regional differences in the level of environmental awareness of the respondents, their assessments of the effectiveness of public policies to stimulate the introduction of energy saving and renewable energy technologies, as well as the level of awareness and knowledge assessments in the community on energy conservation. Furthermore, a significant latent demand for energy-efficient equipment and technologies, applicable in apartment buildings, was revealed. The satisfaction of this demand could be a growth-point for domestic manufacturers of innovative energy-efficient equipment.

In the article are analyzed the state policy of the Russian Federation in the field of education, its basic principles and tools. One of the goals of the Russian education reforms is to increase the competitiveness of domestic universities in the world market of education. This goal has been achieved through the introduction of advanced technologies, professional development and the improvement of the universities infrastructure. Was studied such instrument of state policy in the sphere of education in the Russia and different countries as the costs of education. The public policy instruments in education have strengthened the competitiveness of national universities in the world educational space; these polices were in the article focus. Various state programs in education development are a powerful tool in reforming the education system in general, improving the level of education and strengthening the competitiveness of national universities in the world educational space. Within the framework of the state program of education development in the Russian Federation, a network of leading higher educational institutions of the country has been formed, the number of Russian universities recognized by the world universities has increased. Achievement of these results is promoted by the program of increasing the competitiveness of the Russian universities «5-100». The priority tasks of the project are the development of scientific and research potential, upgrading the level of educational services of Russian universities to the world standards, improving the system of additional education and retraining personnel, expanding international activity. In the study highlights the importance of a balanced state policy in education, necessary for socio-economic development of the country. In modern socio-economic conditions, the complex structure of global economic ties, the highly competitive national education systems in the global market of educational services is growing.