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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">ecr-journal</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Экономическая наука современной России</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Economics of Contemporary Russia</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1609-1442</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2618-8996</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Regional Public Organization for Assistance to the Development of Institutions of the Department of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.33293/1609-1442-2019-2(85)-65-75</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">ecr-journal-445</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКАЯ ПОЛИТИКА И ХОЗЯЙСТВЕННАЯ ПРАКТИКА</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>ECONOMICAL POLICY AND ECONOMICAL PRACTICE</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Развитие кредитного рынка и ценовая стабильность национальной экономики</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Credit Market Development and Prictice Stability of National Economy</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Бывшев</surname><given-names>Виктор Алексеевич</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Byvshev</surname><given-names>Viktor A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>д. т. н., профессор, профессор департамента анализа данных, принятия решений и финансовых технологий</p><p>Москва </p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">vbyvshev@fa.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Бровкина</surname><given-names>Наталья Евгеньевна</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Brovkina</surname><given-names>Natalya E.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>к. э. н., доцент, доцент департамента финансовых рынков и банков</p><p>Москва </p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">Nbrovkina@fa.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Финансовый университет при Правительстве РФ</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2019</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>17</day><month>07</month><year>2019</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>2</issue><fpage>65</fpage><lpage>75</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Бывшев В.А., Бровкина Н.Е., 2019</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2019</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Бывшев В.А., Бровкина Н.Е.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Byvshev V.A., Brovkina N.E.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.ecr-journal.ru/jour/article/view/445">https://www.ecr-journal.ru/jour/article/view/445</self-uri><abstract><p>В последние годы темпы роста национальной экономики не соответствуют вызовам социального и экономического развития страны. Необходим экономический прорыв, сопровождающийся достижением опережающих по сравнению с мировыми темпов экономического роста. Однако при этом важно сохранить макроэкономическую и ценовую стабильность. Одним из факторов, способных обеспечить достижение поставленной цели, является кредит, значение которого, по нашему мнению, в настоящее время несправедливо недооценивается. В публикациях российских и зарубежных экономистов подтверждается, что кредит является фактором, способствующим росту экономики. Вместе с тем кредит может быть связан с формированием инфляционных рисков. Цель статьи – определить соотношение, при котором развитие кредитного рынка, характеризующееся, в частности, увеличением объемов кредитования домашних хозяйств и нефинансовых организаций, не будет приводить к нарушению ценовой стабильности национальной экономики. Поставленная цель была достигнута с помощью системы эконометрических моделей, позволившей выявить отражающее неинфляционное развитие кредитного рынка, соотношение между темпом прироста кредитов нефинансовым организациям и темпом прироста реального ВВП.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>In recent years, the growth rate of the national economy does not meet the challenges of social and economic development of the country. An economic breakthrough is needed, accompanied by the achievement of economic growth rates that are faster than those of the world. However, it is important to maintain macroeconomic and price stability. One of the factors that can ensure the achievement of this goal is credit, the value of which, in our opinion, is currently unfairly underestimated. The publications of Russian and foreign economists confirm that credit is a factor contributing to economic growth. At the same time, the loan may be associated with the formation of inflation risks. The purpose of the article is to determine the ratio in which the development of the credit market, characterized, in particular, by an increase in lending to households and non-financial organizations, will not lead to a violation of the price stability of the national economy. The application of the system of econometric models allowed to reveal the ratio between the growth rate of loans to non-financial organizations and the growth rate of real GDP.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>кредитный рынок</kwd><kwd>инфляция</kwd><kwd>кредиты домашним хозяйствам</kwd><kwd>кредиты нефинансовым организациям</kwd><kwd>темп роста ВВП</kwd><kwd>экономический рост</kwd><kwd>предложение денег</kwd><kwd>монетизация экономики</kwd><kwd>ценовая стабильность национальной экономики</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>credit market</kwd><kwd>inflation</kwd><kwd>loans to households</kwd><kwd>loans to non-financial organizations</kwd><kwd>GDP growth rate</kwd><kwd>the economic growth</kwd><kwd>money supply</kwd><kwd>monetization of the economy</kwd><kwd>price stability of the national economy</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Бывшев В. 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