ecr-journalЭкономическая наука современной РоссииEconomics of Contemporary Russia1609-14422618-8996Regional Public Organization for Assistance to the Development of Institutions of the Department of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences10.33293/1609-1442-2026-29(3)-47-60CWLCUZecr-journal-1205Research ArticleЭКОНОМИЧЕСКАЯ ПОЛИТИКА И ХОЗЯЙСТВЕННАЯ ПРАКТИКАECONOMICAL POLICY AND ECONOMICAL PRACTICEМеханизм отбора инструментов поддержки малого и среднего предпринимательства на основе сценарного прогнозированияMechanism for selecting instruments to support small and medium enterprise based on scenario forecastinghttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-4770-9140СтроевПавел ВикторовичStroevPavel V.

кандидат экономических наук, доцент, директор Института региональной экономики и межбюджетных отношений

Cand. Sci. (Economics), Associate Professor, Director of the Institute of Regional Economics and Interbudgetary Relations

pstroev@fa.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1755-5972ПивовароваОльга ВладимировнаPivovarovaOlga V.

кандидат экономических наук, заместитель директора Института региональной экономики и межбюджетных отношений

Cand. Sci. (Economics), Deputy Director of the Institute of Regional Economics and Interbudgetary Relations

ovpivovarova@fa.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-5089-4204РевуновРоман ВадимовичRevunovRoman V.

кандидат экономических наук, доцент, ведущий научный сотрудник Института региональной экономики и межбюджетных отношений

Cand. Sci. (Economics), Associate Professor, Senior Research Fellow, Institute of Regional Economics and Interbudgetary Relations

rrevunov@mail.ruФинансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации, МоскваРоссияFinancial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, MoscowRussian Federation2026051020262934760Copyright © Regional Public Organization for Assistance to the Development of Institutions of the Department of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 20262026Regional Public Organization for Assistance to the Development of Institutions of the Department of Economics of the Russian Academy of SciencesRegional Public Organization for Assistance to the Development of Institutions of the Department of Economics of the Russian Academy of Scienceshttps://www.ecr-journal.ru/jour/about/submissions#copyrightNoticehttps://www.ecr-journal.ru/jour/article/view/1205

В условиях наблюдаемой в настоящее время структурной трансформации российской экономики особую актуальность и научно-практическую значимость приобретает исследование инструментов стимулирования малого и среднего предпринимательства. Настоящее исследование посвящено анализу опыта организации государственной поддержки субъектов малого и среднего предпринимательства ( МСП), выявлению наиболее эффективных практик государственно стимулирования, обоснованию организационно-правовых форматов совершенствования использования инструментов развития субъектов МСП в РФ. Методологическую основу исследования формируют концептуально-теоретические постулаты институциональной экономики в части, касающейся государственного управления экономическими процессами. Методы исследования включают применение комплексного, статистического, сравнительного видов научного анализа, ретроспективного контент-анализа. Информационная база статьи сформирована результатами научных исследований, касающихся анализа институциональных, организационно-экономических механизмов стимулирования деловой активности хозяйствующих субъектов МСП с учетом различных сценарных условий, законодательными, нормативно-правовыми актами, устанавливающими форматы государственной поддержки, статистическими данными, мировой практикой организации стимулирования МСП. Авторами обоснована концепция цифровой платформы (цифрового конструктора) инструментов стимулирования субъектов МСП с учетом различных сценарных условий, интегрирующей данные о предпринимателях, параметрах региональной экономики, доступных мерах поддержки и результатах их применения, а также алгоритмы рекомендаций, позволяющие на основе средств автоматизации формировать персонализированные наборы мер для конкретного субъекта МСП. Внедрение такого механизма позволяет перейти от механистического расширения перечня мер к целенаправленной конфигурации поддержки, повышающей ее результативность при ограниченных ресурсах и меняющихся внешних условиях. Результаты исследования способствуют повышению эффективности действующего в РФ инструментария поддержки субъектов МСП.

Given the current structural transformation of the Russian economy, research into small and medium enterprise’s (SME) incentives is particularly relevant and has significant scientific and practical significance. This study aims to interpret the experience of state organized support for SMEs, identify the most effective state incentive practices, and substantiate organizational and legal formats for improving the use of SME development tools in the Russian Federation. Research methods include comprehensive, statistical, and comparative scientific analysis, as well as retrospective content analysis. The methodological basis of the study is formed by the conceptual and theoretical postulates of institutional economics, in the part concerning public management of economic processes. The article information base is formed by the results of scientific research concerning the analysis of institutional, organizational, and economic mechanisms for stimulating business activity of small and medium enterprises, taking into account various scenarios, legislative and regulatory legal acts establishing formats for providing state support, statistical data, and international practices for organizing SME incentives. The authors developed a concept for a digital platform (digital designer) for SME incentive tools, taking into account various scenario conditions. This platform integrates data on entrepreneurs, regional economic parameters, available support measures, and their implementation outcomes, as well as recommendation algorithms that enable the automated creation of personalized sets of measures for specific SMEs. The implementation of such mechanism allows for a transition from a mechanistic expansion of measures to a targeted support configuration that enhances its effectiveness given limited resources and changing external conditions. The results of the study contribute to improving the effectiveness of existing SME support tools in the Russian Federation.

малое и среднее предпринимательствомалый бизнессценарное прогнозированиемеханизм отборамеры поддержкигосударственное регулированиеинструменты автоматизациицифровая матрицаsmall and medium-sized enterprises (SME)small businessscenario forecastingselection mechanismsupport measuresgovernment regulationautomation toolsdigital matrixСтатья подготовлена по результатам исследований, выполненных за счет бюджетных средств по государственному заданию Финансового университета при Правительстве Российской Федерации.This article was prepared on the results of research funded by budgetary appropriations under the state assignment of the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation.ReferencesБорисова С.Г. (2020). Зарубежный опыт государственной поддержки малого и среднего предпринимательства на примере США // Вестник Воронежского института высоких технологий. № 1 (32). С. 104–109. EDN: RFOHTJBorisova S.G. (2020). 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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.